The effect of the late 2000s financial crisis on suicides in Spain: an interrupted time-series analysis.

نویسندگان

  • James A Lopez Bernal
  • Antonio Gasparrini
  • Carlos M Artundo
  • Martin McKee
چکیده

BACKGROUND The current financial crisis is having a major impact on European economies, especially that of Spain. Past evidence suggests that adverse macro-economic conditions exacerbate mental illness, but evidence from the current crisis is limited. This study analyses the association between the financial crisis and suicide rates in Spain. METHODS An interrupted time-series analysis of national suicides data between 2005 and 2010 was used to establish whether there has been any deviation in the underlying trend in suicide rates associated with the financial crisis. Segmented regression with a seasonally adjusted quasi-Poisson model was used for the analysis. Stratified analyses were performed to establish whether the effect of the crisis on suicides varied by region, sex and age group. RESULTS The mean monthly suicide rate in Spain during the study period was 0.61 per 100 000 with an underlying trend of a 0.3% decrease per month. We found an 8.0% increase in the suicide rate above this underlying trend since the financial crisis (95% CI: 1.009-1.156; P = 0.03); this was robust to sensitivity analysis. A control analysis showed no change in deaths from accidental falls associated with the crisis. Stratified analyses suggested that the association between the crisis and suicide rates is greatest in the Mediterranean and Northern areas, in males and amongst those of working age. CONCLUSIONS The financial crisis in Spain has been associated with a relative increase in suicides. Males and those of working age may be at particular risk of suicide associated with the crisis and may benefit from targeted interventions.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

RE: The effect of the late 2000s financial crisis on suicides in Spain: an interrupted time-series analysis.

Suicides, hurricanes and economic crisis Director, Lopez Bernal et al. 1 detected a suicide rate trend, between 2005 and 2010, of a 0.3% decrease per month and, above this underlying trend, an 8% increase in Spanish suicide rates since the financial crisis using an interrupted time-series analysis. However, their model considers the economic crisis as an event that occurred suddenly in March 20...

متن کامل

The Relationship between the Public Debt and Economic Growth: An Analysis of PIIGS Countries

T he financial crisis that was started in the last months of 2008, spread out to all world countries in short-term and had broken out as public debt in the European Union and Euro area. Most affected countries from this financial crisis had been Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece, and Spain were named as PIIGS countries of Europe. The effect of public debt on economic growth had been a...

متن کامل

Suicides, hurricanes and economic crisis.

Suicides, hurricanes and economic crisis Director, Lopez Bernal et al. 1 detected a suicide rate trend, between 2005 and 2010, of a 0.3% decrease per month and, above this underlying trend, an 8% increase in Spanish suicide rates since the financial crisis using an interrupted time-series analysis. However, their model considers the economic crisis as an event that occurred suddenly in March 20...

متن کامل

Monitoring Financial Processes with ARMA-GARCH Model Based on Shewhart Control Chart (Case Study: Tehran Stock Exchange)

Financial surveillance is an interesting area after financial crisis in recent years. In this subject, important financial indices are monitored using control charts. Control chart is a powerful instrument for detecting assignable causes which is considerably developed in industrial and service environments. In this paper, a monitoring procedure based on Shewhart control chart is proposed to mo...

متن کامل

Finite Sample Properties of Quantile Interrupted Time Series Analysis: A Simulation Study

Interrupted Time Series (ITS) analysis represents a powerful quasi-experime-ntal design in which a discontinuity is enforced at a specific intervention point in a time series, and separate regression functions are fitted before and after the intervention point. Segmented linear/quantile regression can be used in ITS designs to isolate intervention effects by estimating the sudden/level change (...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • European journal of public health

دوره 23 5  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2013